Comparative Effectiveness of Treatment Options for Genital Herpes Infection to Reduce Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes



Status:Recruiting
Conditions:Infectious Disease, Women's Studies
Therapuetic Areas:Immunology / Infectious Diseases, Reproductive
Healthy:No
Age Range:18 - 45
Updated:4/17/2018
Start Date:March 14, 2017
End Date:July 2020
Contact:Roxana Odouli, MSPH
Email:roxana.odouli@kp.org
Phone:5108913749

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Comparative Effectiveness of Treatment Options for Genital Herpes Infection in Pregnant Women to Reduce Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes

Preterm delivery (PTD), together with low birthweight (LBW), is the leading cause of infant
death and illness, affecting 500,000 births with annual medical costs of more than $26
billion in the U.S. each year. Identifying changeable risk factors to reduce PTD is
considered a top research priority. Recent research has shown genital herpes infection (HSV)
is associated with increased risks of PTD and LBW. More importantly, treating this infection,
including infection with no symptoms, using readily available antiviral medications can be
effective in removing the risk due to HSV. Thus, early identification and treatment of HSV in
pregnant women could be an effective way to prevent PTD and LBW. Currently, many pregnant
women with HSV infection, especially those with no symptoms, choose not to treat due to (a) a
lack of demonstrated benefit of treatment and (b) general hesitance to use medications during
pregnancy due to safety concerns for the fetus. Thus, emerging evidence of an increased risk
of PTD/LBW associated with HSV infection, if untreated, and treatment effectiveness by
anti-herpes medications has significantly changed current treatment paradigms among pregnant
women. This evidence also provides new hope that effectively treating HSV infection among
pregnant women, especially before the 3rd trimester, could lead to a new method to reduce PTD
and LBW and reduce racial/ethnic disparities in these risks due to high rates of the
infection in minority groups. Thus, to further examine the effectiveness of treating HSV in
pregnant women to reduce adverse pregnancy outcomes, the investigators propose to conduct a
prospective cohort study with a two-stage design combining the large pregnant women
population (N=90,000) in Stage I identified through Kaiser Permanente Northern California
(KPNC) electronic medical records (EMRs), with a Stage II sample to collect detailed
information on additional factors that might muddle our understanding of this issue. This
study will address the following: (1) Does treating HSV infection in pregnant women reduce
the risk of PTD or LBW? (2) Does timing of the treatment during pregnancy influence treatment
effectiveness? (3) Do other factors influence treatment effectiveness? and (4) Does HSV
infection in pregnancy, if untreated, increase the risk of PTD and LBW, compared to no
infection? Answers to these questions will be valuable to pregnant women and clinicians, and
directly address their concerns when making treatment decisions

Preterm delivery (PTD), along with low birthweight (LBW), is the leading cause of perinatal
mortality and morbidity. In the U.S., 12% of livebirths are PTDs, resulting in more than $26
billion in medical costs annually. The impact on infant health and staggering costs makes PTD
one of the top research priorities of PCORI, AHRQ, the Institute of Medicine (IOM) and the
World Health Organization (WHO), due to a lack of effective interventions to reduce PTD.

Genital herpes infection is prevalent, with a recent WHO estimation of 500 million people
worldwide infected. Treating pregnant women with genital herpes infection, especially before
the 3rd trimester, has been shown to reduce the risk of PTD and LBW, thus it can be an
effective intervention to reduce PTD/LBW. However, the effectiveness and benefit of treating
genital herpes to reduce PTD and LBW needs to be further demonstrated in order to be
incorporated into the treatment decision making process. Currently, many pregnant women
choose not to treat genital herpes due to a general aversion to taking medications during
pregnancy for the safety of their fetuses, and a lack of demonstrated evidence of benefits.
Paradoxically, the choice of no treatment for genital herpes may adversely impact fetal
health, leading to PTD and LBW. Given that pregnant women frequently prefer no treatment,
studies are urgently needed to establish the risk-benefit profile between treatment and no
treatment for genital herpes infection in the context of improving fetal health, including
the timing of treatment (before the 3rd trimester). This study is designed to provide clear
evidence of treatment effectiveness in real-world clinical practice, and risk-benefit
profiles to inform both treatment decisions by pregnant women and clinicians.

Study Aims:

This proposed comparative effectiveness study will address the following questions:

1. Does treating genital herpes infection in pregnant women reduce the risk of adverse
pregnancy outcomes including PTD or LBW? (treated vs. untreated)

2. Does the timing of the treatment during pregnancy influence the treatment effectiveness
on reducing adverse pregnancy outcomes (PTD and LBW)? (head-to-head comparison of
treatment timing: before the 3rd trimester vs. during the 3rd trimester).

3. Do other treatment metrics, including treatment duration, dosage, and compliance, impact
treatment effectiveness in reducing the risk of PTD and LBW?

4. Does treatment effectiveness vary depending on the type (or severity) of underlying
genital herpes infection? (e.g., treating symptomatic genital herpes infection vs.
treating latent/asymptomatic genital herpes)

5. Does genital herpes infection in pregnancy, if untreated, increase the risk of PTD and
LBW, compared to no genital herpes infection? (untreated vs. controls without genital
herpes) In addition, this study is especially relevant in addressing racial disparities,
given that minority pregnant women have higher rates of both genital herpes infection
and PTD: 3 times the infection rate and 150% higher PTD rate among African-Americans
compared to Whites. Thus, demonstrating the effectiveness of treating genital herpes in
reducing PTD could lead to a reduction in the existing racial disparity in PTD rates.

Study Description Overall study design: The investigators will conduct a prospective cohort
study with a two-stage design based on more than 90,000 pregnant KPNC members in real-world
clinical practice. Due to the increased fetal risk of untreated genital herpes infection,
randomizing pregnant women with the infection into treated and untreated groups presents
ethical problems, thus is not feasible. Our innovative two-stage prospective cohort design,
leveraging our large membership and comprehensive electronic medical record (EMR) data, is a
robust alternative option for examining the comparative effectiveness of treating genital
herpes infection in pregnant women to reduce PTD and LBW.

Comparators: Three comparisons will be made:

1. When assessing treatment effectiveness, women with the infection who choose not to
receive treatment will serve as the comparator (untreated). This comparator is a
frequently preferred treatment option chosen by pregnant women due to their reluctance
to use medications during pregnancy, based on their predominant concerns for the safety
of their developing fetus as well as a lack of evidence that treating genital herpes
infection is beneficial to their fetus. This comparator will also make the comparison
groups more comparable by controlling for confounding by indication.

2. When assessing the timing of treatment effectiveness (before vs. after the start of the
3rd trimester), those who receive treatment during the 3rd trimester will be used as the
comparator. Using this comparator will allow a head-to-head comparison between the
timing of the treatment.

3. When assessing the effect of choosing not to treat during pregnancy, women without an
underlying genital herpes infection or receipt of any treatment will serve as the
comparator (normal controls). This comparison will provide evidence of the increased
risk of PTD and LBW if genital herpes infection is not treated during pregnancy.

Our comparators will allow us to control for confounding by indication (genital herpes, its
type and severity). Our EMR contains extensive questions on risk factors, including lifestyle
factors, for all 90,000 mother-infant dyads. Through the unique two-stage study design,
investigators will collect additional information, through interviews, on a subsample of
women that will further allow controlling for additional confounders. Multiple statistical
methodologies, in accordance with PCORI's methodology standards, will be employed in the
analytic plan (e.g., propensity scores, , instrumental variable methods) to ensure
compatibility between comparison groups.

Inclusion Criteria:

- Kaiser Permanente Northern California members

- Pregnant women

Exclusion Criteria:

- Non Kaiser Permanente Northern California members

- Non pregnant women
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